Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.061349 1.235307 1.422021 1.636560 1.875463 2.132536 2.429266
2025-05-25 0.735553 0.969784 1.244993 1.588356 2.001212 2.477536 3.064282
2025-06-01 0.547883 0.811490 1.147716 1.598260 2.175673 2.880065 3.792513
2025-06-08 0.412265 0.682929 1.055748 1.588441 2.309938 3.232298 4.477224
2025-06-15 0.340668 0.622814 1.037995 1.663628 2.549500 3.724288 5.360634
2025-06-22 0.275994 0.556663 0.997098 1.694899 2.724047 4.134480 6.154326
2025-06-29 0.214419 0.479939 0.925254 1.667125 2.805693 4.415982 6.783053
2025-07-06 0.176283 0.434123 0.893082 1.691772 2.959628 4.800392 7.564864
2025-07-13 0.145432 0.393924 0.862636 1.712711 3.105058 5.175505 8.345549
2025-07-20 0.121703 0.361775 0.840351 1.742305 3.262403 5.571912 9.169153
2025-07-27 0.100749 0.329764 0.812560 1.757606 3.394967 5.934212 9.953925
2025-08-03 0.077992 0.286258 0.754697 1.711672 3.421174 6.132303 10.499861
2025-08-10 0.062859 0.257971 0.724590 1.716138 3.537032 6.483004 11.302698
2025-08-17 0.047237 0.222115 0.671758 1.671397 3.565127 6.697499 11.909739
2025-08-24 0.038027 0.201755 0.649742 1.683999 3.693852 7.078310 12.786940
2025-08-31 0.029583 0.179702 0.619098 1.674762 3.781149 7.393806 13.571931
2025-09-07 0.026113 0.174613 0.629918 1.753534 4.035132 7.995664 14.829802
2025-09-14 0.021556 0.162595 0.620207 1.786302 4.203610 8.459182 15.879477
2025-09-21 0.016127 0.142821 0.584868 1.757451 4.250946 8.716646 16.602370
2025-09-28 0.013079 0.132474 0.574123 1.783165 4.405324 9.163520 17.646786
2025-10-05 0.010503 0.122560 0.562435 1.804993 4.552446 9.602110 18.688991
2025-10-12 0.008536 0.114557 0.554937 1.835824 4.718857 10.079843 19.808539
2025-10-19 0.006722 0.105586 0.542119 1.851763 4.854892 10.507166 20.854011